Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Anything and everything about Thailand
Post Reply
Dodger
Posts: 3018
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 2:58 am
Has thanked: 421 times
Been thanked: 711 times

Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Dodger »

Interested article explaining some of the rationale for the Thai baht being stronger than one would expect considering the current economic indicators:

https://www.pattayamail.com/latestnews/ ... ncy-514972
User avatar
Gaybutton
Posts: 24327
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Thailand
Has thanked: 3 times
Been thanked: 1671 times

Re: Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Gaybutton »

If the baht is strong, but shouldn't be, maybe it will crash. If that happens, no objection from me. Fingers crossed.
User avatar
Jun
Posts: 2583
Joined: Mon Jul 10, 2023 8:43 pm
Has thanked: 398 times
Been thanked: 260 times

Re: Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Jun »

It's a mistake to think the Thai Baht should be weak, just because we would like it that way. There's no real reason to expect a weak Baht.

Meanwhile, the US continues to survive on debt and deficits. Including a horrendous balance of trade deficit.
The UK is just as bad.

With the economy like that, we're lucky to get the exchange rates that we have now.
Dodger
Posts: 3018
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 2:58 am
Has thanked: 421 times
Been thanked: 711 times

Re: Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Dodger »

Jun wrote: Fri Aug 22, 2025 12:48 pm
.......With the economy like that, we're lucky to get the exchange rates that we have now.
I agree, and remain grateful for what we're getting.

i imagine the U.S. dollar will strengthen after Trumps trade wars simmer down and consumer confidence rebounds from that past year of shock-treatments. But then again, if they dive deeper into inflation all bets are off.
User avatar
Jun
Posts: 2583
Joined: Mon Jul 10, 2023 8:43 pm
Has thanked: 398 times
Been thanked: 260 times

Re: Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Jun »

As an outsider, I have the impression that Trump is borrowing recklessly and at the same time, trying to pressurise the Fed to lower interest rates.
None of that can be good for the USD. Countries with independent setting of interest rates tend to have lower inflation.

The US nationals here probably keep a closer eye on this than me.

Here's more evidence of interference with the Fed.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx275n8gx0ro
Dodger
Posts: 3018
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 2:58 am
Has thanked: 421 times
Been thanked: 711 times

Re: Why is the Thai Baht strong when it should be weaker?

Post by Dodger »

Jun wrote: Tue Aug 26, 2025 3:04 pm
.......I have the impression that Trump is borrowing recklessly and at the same time, trying to pressurise the Fed to lower interest rates.

None of that can be good for the USD.
I think you're right.

I wonder who Trump will blame this time. Probably the feds.
Post Reply